“Over the period [2001-2020], Arizona’s electric rates for commercial customers have increased 2.74¢/kWh (a 37% increase over 2001 rates) whereas similar rates in New York, Illinois, and Ohio have increased by only 1 to 1.5¢ and rates in Texas and Pennsylvania have fallen.”
Last week the Arizona Senate discussed SB1631, a bill that would repeal the state’s stated policy of promoting competition in electric power service. It’s the companion of HB2101 that I discussed in a post two weeks ago: “Electric monopolies in Arizona fear their customers would leave if given the chance.”
I was listening to the Senate’s Natural Resources, Energy, and Water committee discussion of the bill and was surprised to see the AZ representative of the National Federation of Independent Business stand up in support of this bill, which is to say for monopoly and opposed to competition. (Video of the committee’s discussion is here. The link takes you to the start of the discussion at the 0:49 mark, NFIB’s Chad Heinrich appears just after the 1:19 mark.)
Now Mr. Heinrich reports that the position is the result of a vote by his members, and that is a perfectly respectable way for a group to choose positions. But the organization should also help its members understand the context of the vote. Arizona’s commercial ratepayers may be paying a little extra because consumers are locked into monopoly providers.
The following chart shows the change in average commercial electric rates since 2001 for several states. I’ve shown the U.S. average (blue) and Arizona (light green) along with the five largest states to allow commercial customers to choose electric suppliers: Texas, New York, Pennsylvania, Illinois, and Ohio. (You can look at the data yourself. Click the link to see this data via the EIA’s Electricity Data Browser. Go explore.)
Now the chart above isn’t a sophisticated analysis of the causes of electricity rate changes. It would take a lot more advanced analysis to solidly back the claim that competition produced lower rates. (Some relevant advanced analysis was discussed in my HB2021 post.)
Still, at first glance, over the period available in EIA’s Electricity Data Browser, Arizona’s rates for commercial customers have increased 2.74¢/kWh (a 37% increase over 2001 rates) whereas similar rates in New York, Illinois, and Ohio have increased by only 1 to 1.5¢ and rates in Texas and Pennsylvania have fallen. Again, the chart is not conclusive evidence, but if a monopoly lobbyist wants to reject the suggestive picture above or dispute the data collected by the U.S. Energy Information Administration, ask them to show their work.
NFIB members in Arizona may want to hear from NFIB members in New York, Pennsylvania, Illinois, Ohio and Texas about the advantages and disadvantages of competitive power markets.